Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Longford Town had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.99%) and 1-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Longford Town win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.