League One

League One | Gameweek 30

Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Crown Ground

Accrington
2 - 2
Morecambe

Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Accrington Stanley 2-2 Morecambe

This has all of the makings of an entertaining game of football, and we are predicting goals this weekend. Morecambe were excellent against Wycombe, but Accrington have been impressive at home in recent weeks, and we are backing a high-scoring draw at Wham Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Morecambe
37.37%	27.21%	35.42%

Both teams to score 50.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.77%

55.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.54%

76.46%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46%

28.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.67%

64.33%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28%

29.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.21%

65.79%

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 37.36%

Morecambe 35.42%

Draw 27.21%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.36%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.42%