League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Globe Arena
Morecambe4 - 3Doncaster
We said: Morecambe 2-1 Doncaster Rovers
With Doncaster's dreadful away form to take into account, as well as the potential return of Stockton and McCalmont for Morecambe, we are predicting a home win in this one on Sunday. It is a huge game for both sides considering their current positions, but the hosts will fancy their chances despite their continued troubles in defence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 49.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 49.18% | 28.35% | 22.47% |
| Both teams to score 40.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
