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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Barnsley
2 - 0
Forest Green

Cole (15'), Martin (83')
Kitching (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Despite a poor run of late, Barnsley should still be good enough to get by Forest Green. Their experience should get them through the game, but the visitors will not make it an easy ride. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawForest Green Rovers
49.95% (-0.114 -0.11) 24.41% (0.038 0.04) 25.64% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.25% (-0.104 -0.1)47.75% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.06% (-0.096 -0.1)69.95% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)19.15% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.2% (-0.143 -0.14)50.8% (0.143 0.14)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.42% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 49.94%
    Forest Green Rovers 25.64%
    Draw 24.41%
BarnsleyDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 7% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.64%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Forest Green

Barnsley
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Forest Green Rovers
0.0%
10
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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