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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Burton Albion
2 - 2
Plymouth

Kamwa (41'), Mariappa (90+7')
Oshilaja (17'), Onyango (62'), Hamer (63'), Winnall (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hardie (64' pen.), Mumba (73')
Lonwijk (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth Argyle will be desperate to return to winning ways on Saturday and ensure they maintain a lead at the top of the table, and they have shown far more quality than their hosts throughout the season thus far. Against a Burton Albion team lacking any confidence, we see Schumacher's men cruising to a victory in Staffordshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPlymouth Argyle
34.77% (-2.772 -2.77) 24.28% (-0.719 -0.72) 40.95% (3.495 3.5)
Both teams to score 60.06% (2.304 2.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.45% (3.115 3.12)42.55% (-3.114 -3.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.04% (3.034 3.03)64.96% (-3.031 -3.03)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)24.06% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.115 -0.12)58.34% (0.118 0.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (3.118 3.12)20.91% (-3.114 -3.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.37% (4.659 4.66)53.63% (-4.655 -4.65)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 34.77%
    Plymouth Argyle 40.95%
    Draw 24.28%
Burton AlbionDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.387 -0.39)
1-0 @ 7.17% (-1.06 -1.06)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.769 -0.77)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.126 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.371 -0.37)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.77%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.279 0.28)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.729 -0.73)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.411 0.41)
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.343 -0.34)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.303 0.3)
1-3 @ 4.58% (0.602 0.6)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.421 0.42)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.429 0.43)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.374 0.37)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.264 0.26)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.265 0.27)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 40.95%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Plymouth

Burton Albion
20.7%
Draw
10.3%
Plymouth Argyle
69.0%
87
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Plymouth
Broom (90+3')
Clare (19')
Hardie (69')
Watts (28'), Mayor (56'), Opoku (74')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Burton Albion
Jephcott (25'), Moore (47')
Watts (63'), Canavan (72')

Hemmings (58'), Daniel (83')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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