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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Burton Albion
3 - 3
Charlton

Oshilaja (38'), Hamer (45'), Adeboyejo (58')
Taylor (70')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Kirk (26', 36'), Rak-Sakyi (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Needham Market
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Charlton (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Charlton Athletic

 Charlton will be favourites entering this match, and rightly so looking at Burton's form. We struggle to see the Brewers having any joy against the Addicks, who have the chance to close the gap to the teams in the playoff places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
37.26% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 26.14% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01) 36.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.77% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.24% (0.025999999999996 0.03)50.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (0.024999999999999 0.02)72.66% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.48% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33% (0.037999999999997 0.04)61.67% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)26.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83%62.17%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 37.26%
    Charlton Athletic 36.6%
    Draw 26.13%
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.26%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 36.6%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Charlton

Burton Albion
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
Charlton Athletic
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Charlton
2-0
Burton Albion
Washington (12'), Taylor (42')

Hamer (9'), Niasse (32'), Oshilaja (47'), Shaughnessy (55'), Gilligan (65'), Chapman (79')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
0-1
Charlton

Hemmings (41')
Oshilaja (18')
Purrington (20')
Lee (28'), Jaiyesimi (31'), Famewo (45+4'), Arter (46')
Stockley (17')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Charlton
1-2
Burton Albion
Stockley (9')
Fondop-Talum (25'), Watson (54' og.)
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Burton Albion
4-2
Charlton
Akins (9'), Powell (39'), Hughes (53'), Vernam (76')
Akins (64')
Smyth (42'), Aneke (67')
Gunter (30'), Gilbey (61'), Watson (65'), Maatsen (80'), Aneke (81')
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
Charlton
2-1
Burton Albion
Taylor (6' pen.), Reeves (33')
Akins (19' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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