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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | MK Dons |
44.05% ( -0.02) | 27.23% ( -0) | 28.71% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.05% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43% ( 0.02) | 57% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.11% ( 0.02) | 77.89% ( -0.02) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.29% ( 0) | 25.71% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.37% ( -0) | 60.63% ( 0) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% ( 0.03) | 35.32% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% ( 0.03) | 72.07% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 44.05% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 9.45% 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 47 |
3 | Wrexham | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 45 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 42 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 36 |
6 | Reading | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 34 |
7 | Barnsley | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 33 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 31 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 31 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 31 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 30 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
13 | Leyton Orient | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 28 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 27 |
15 | Blackpool | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 27 |
16 | Stevenage | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 26 |
17 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 17 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Burton Albion | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |