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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
MK Dons

Barnsley
3 - 1
MK Dons

Williams (18'), Phillips (50'), Kane (68')
Connell (26'), Andersen (45+2'), Kitching (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Eisa (40')
McEachran (23'), Eisa (45+3'), Lawrence (84'), Jules (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Barnsley
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-3 Derby
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 MK Dons

Barnsley have enjoyed a far stronger start to the season than their visitors, and with renewed confidence on the back of two straight league victories, they should take all three points at Oakwell. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawMK Dons
44.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.23% (-0.0029999999999966 -0) 28.71% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.05% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43% (0.019999999999996 0.02)57% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)77.89% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.00099999999999056 0)25.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.32% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (0.026999999999997 0.03)72.07% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 44.05%
    MK Dons 28.72%
    Draw 27.23%
BarnsleyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 9.45%
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 28.72%

How you voted: Barnsley vs MK Dons

Barnsley
79.5%
Draw
15.9%
MK Dons
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
Barnsley
3-5
MK Dons
Hourihane (82', 87'), Cole (91')
Abbott (37')
Afobe (33'), Carruthers (45'), Alli (52'), Grigg (71'), Reeves (79')
Randall (35')
Jan 21, 2006 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
MK Dons
Hassell (79'), Richards (77')
Burns (17'), Austin (68')

Small (39'), Chorley (89')
Sep 17, 2005 3pm
MK Dons
0-0
Barnsley

Edds (78')

Wroe (26'), Reid (28'), Conlon (66'), Burns (73'), Williams (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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