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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
MK Dons

Barnsley
3 - 1
MK Dons

Williams (18'), Phillips (50'), Kane (68')
Connell (26'), Andersen (45+2'), Kitching (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Eisa (40')
McEachran (23'), Eisa (45+3'), Lawrence (84'), Jules (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Barnsley
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-3 Derby
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 MK Dons

Barnsley have enjoyed a far stronger start to the season than their visitors, and with renewed confidence on the back of two straight league victories, they should take all three points at Oakwell. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawMK Dons
44.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.23% (-0.0029999999999966 -0) 28.71% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.05% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43% (0.019999999999996 0.02)57% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)77.89% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.00099999999999056 0)25.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.32% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (0.026999999999997 0.03)72.07% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 44.05%
    MK Dons 28.72%
    Draw 27.23%
BarnsleyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 9.45%
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 28.72%

How you voted: Barnsley vs MK Dons

Barnsley
79.5%
Draw
15.9%
MK Dons
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
Barnsley
3-5
MK Dons
Hourihane (82', 87'), Cole (91')
Abbott (37')
Afobe (33'), Carruthers (45'), Alli (52'), Grigg (71'), Reeves (79')
Randall (35')
Jan 21, 2006 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
MK Dons
Hassell (79'), Richards (77')
Burns (17'), Austin (68')

Small (39'), Chorley (89')
Sep 17, 2005 3pm
MK Dons
0-0
Barnsley

Edds (78')

Wroe (26'), Reid (28'), Conlon (66'), Burns (73'), Williams (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham20153237162148
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe21145246222447
3Wrexham22136333151845
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield21133535181742
5Stockport CountyStockport22106634231136
6Reading2110473431334
7Barnsley229673131033
8Mansfield TownMansfield209472622431
9Lincoln CityLincoln228772826231
10Bolton WanderersBolton209472931-231
11Charlton AthleticCharlton218672520530
12Exeter CityExeter219392223-130
13Leyton Orient218492620628
14Wigan AthleticWigan217682018227
15Blackpool217683033-327
16Stevenage207581520-526
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2173113840-224
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham206591922-323
19Bristol Rovers2164111932-1322
20Northampton TownNorthampton2256112238-1621
21Crawley TownCrawley2154122036-1619
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2145122137-1617
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2143142241-1915
24Burton Albion2126131734-1712


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