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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
MK Dons

Barnsley
3 - 1
MK Dons

Williams (18'), Phillips (50'), Kane (68')
Connell (26'), Andersen (45+2'), Kitching (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Eisa (40')
McEachran (23'), Eisa (45+3'), Lawrence (84'), Jules (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Barnsley
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-3 Derby
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 MK Dons

Barnsley have enjoyed a far stronger start to the season than their visitors, and with renewed confidence on the back of two straight league victories, they should take all three points at Oakwell. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawMK Dons
44.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.23% (-0.0029999999999966 -0) 28.71% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.05% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43% (0.019999999999996 0.02)57% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)77.89% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.00099999999999056 0)25.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.32% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (0.026999999999997 0.03)72.07% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 44.05%
    MK Dons 28.72%
    Draw 27.23%
BarnsleyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 9.45%
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 28.72%

How you voted: Barnsley vs MK Dons

Barnsley
Draw
MK Dons
Barnsley
79.5%
Draw
15.9%
MK Dons
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
Barnsley
3-5
MK Dons
Hourihane (82', 87'), Cole (91')
Abbott (37')
Afobe (33'), Carruthers (45'), Alli (52'), Grigg (71'), Reeves (79')
Randall (35')
Jan 21, 2006 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
MK Dons
Hassell (79'), Richards (77')
Burns (17'), Austin (68')

Small (39'), Chorley (89')
Sep 17, 2005 3pm
MK Dons
0-0
Barnsley

Edds (78')

Wroe (26'), Reid (28'), Conlon (66'), Burns (73'), Williams (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham42309375304599
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage431510184047-755
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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