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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 2pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
1 - 2
Barnsley

FT(HT: 0-2)
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
Kane (37'), Kitching (50'), Phillips (76'), Walton (87'), Andersen (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley

There is not an awful lot between these two sides in terms of quality, and we are expecting a close match on Saturday afternoon. Barnsley certainly have the quality to triumph, but we just a have a feeling that Bolton will progress to the second round of the competition courtesy of a narrow success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
51.29% (-0.186 -0.19) 24.37% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 24.34% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33% (-0.198 -0.2)48.66% (0.196 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-0.179 -0.18)70.78% (0.178 0.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (-0.151 -0.15)18.97% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.49% (-0.248 -0.25)50.5% (0.247 0.25)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)34.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 51.28%
    Barnsley 24.34%
    Draw 24.36%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 51.28%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.34%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Barnsley
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Aug 10, 2021 8pm
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley
Bolton win 5-4 on penalties

Jones (68')

Benson (13'), Moon (46'), Kane (82')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
Gardner (22'), McBurnie (90')
Moore (45'), Gardner (57'), Moncur (79'), McBurnie (81'), Lindsay (90')
Le Fondre (82' pen.), Noone (85')
Henry (13'), Ameobi (55'), Beevers (59'), Pratley (81')
Dec 2, 2017 3pm
Bolton
3-1
Barnsley
Madine (20', 39' pen.), Little (70')
Ameobi (37'), Henry (56'), Vela (60'), Pratley (89')
Bradshaw (22' pen.)
Bradshaw (28'), Potts (56'), Williams (60'), Thiam (89'), Yiadom (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Bournemouth622289-18
12Brentford6213810-27
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton6015312-91
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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