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Championship header 2

League One
Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Portsmouth

Plymouth
3 - 1
Portsmouth

Cosgrove (24'), Azaz (70'), Hardie (90+4')
Matete (73'), Butcher (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hackett-Fairchild (79')
Raggett (85'), Bishop (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Portsmouth

 Plymouth have been in impressive form at Home Park this season, and after winning 13 of their 14 home league games, we think they will edge out Portsmouth to claim a narrow victory on Saturday, Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPortsmouth
55.19% (-0.14 -0.14) 22.81% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 21.99% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.29% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)15.97% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.73% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)45.27% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8% (0.107 0.11)34.2% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1% (0.116 0.12)70.9% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 55.19%
    Portsmouth 21.99%
    Draw 22.81%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.62% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 55.19%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.99%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Portsmouth

Plymouth Argyle
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Portsmouth
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Koroma (41'), Hackett-Fairchild (90+4')
Pack (43')
Raggett (74' og.), Ennis (79')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth
1-0
Portsmouth
Hardie (65')
Sessegnon (43'), Cooper (90+5')

Romeo (33'), Thompson (34')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Brown (6'), Raggett (90+5')
Raggett (19'), Curtis (24'), Harness (32')
Hardie (48', 80')
Grant (4'), Edwards (32'), Houghton (45+1')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Curtis (86'), Bolton (87')
Cannon (72'), Naylor (84')
Jephcott (71', 82')
Nov 16, 2020 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-2
Portsmouth
Raggett (11' og.), Opoku (78')
Opoku (71'), Reeves (85')
Marquis (63' pen.), Naylor (65')
Marquis (33'), Cannon (73'), Naylor (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91
> League One Full Table


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