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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
60.47% ( -0.05) | 20.97% ( 0.02) | 18.56% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.93% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.09% ( -0.03) | 40.91% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.7% ( -0.03) | 63.3% ( 0.04) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.89% ( -0.02) | 13.12% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.24% ( -0.05) | 39.76% ( 0.05) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.37% ( 0.02) | 35.63% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.6% ( 0.02) | 72.4% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 60.47% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.97% | 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 18.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |