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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Derby logo

Barnsley
4 - 1
Derby

Cole (21', 45+2'), Phillips (33'), Thomas (90+4')
Thomas (67'), Kitching (71'), Kane (75')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Coverage of the League One clash between Barnsley and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-4 Barnsley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
36.76% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 27.59% (0.0019999999999989 0) 35.65% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.05% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)29.62% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.66% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.012999999999991 0.01)30.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.016000000000005 0.02)66.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 36.75%
    Derby County 35.64%
    Draw 27.59%
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 36.75%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 35.64%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Derby

Barnsley
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Derby County
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Collins (45+1' pen.), Barkhuizen (60'), Knight (79')
Bird (49'), Sibley (69')

Connell (27'), Kitching (68')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Derby
2-0
Barnsley
Morrison (22', 47')

Wolfe (7'), Morris (90+4')
Nov 3, 2021 7.45pm
Barnsley
2-1
Derby
Adeboyejo (39'), Leya Iseka (50')
Woodrow (26'), Brittain (64'), Andersen (81')
Baldock (24')
Morrison (15'), Buchanan (50')
Mar 10, 2021 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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