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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
62.84% ( -0.97) | 21.06% ( 0.64) | 16.1% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 50.56% ( -1.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.46% ( -2.16) | 45.54% ( 2.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.13% ( -2.09) | 67.87% ( 2.09) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.12% ( -0.96) | 13.88% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.72% ( -1.94) | 41.28% ( 1.94) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.7% ( -0.88) | 41.3% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.18% ( -0.78) | 77.82% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.63) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.75% Total : 62.83% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.05% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |