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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Barnsley |
36.73% ( -0.61) | 27.11% ( -0.28) | 36.15% ( 0.88) |
Both teams to score 50.56% ( 0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.18% ( 1.14) | 54.81% ( -1.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.88% ( 0.94) | 76.12% ( -0.94) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.28% ( 0.19) | 28.72% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.45% ( 0.24) | 64.55% ( -0.24) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.93% ( 1.11) | 29.07% ( -1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.01% ( 1.35) | 64.98% ( -1.35) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.73% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |