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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Carlisle United |
52.01% (![]() | 23.98% | 24.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.98% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.64% (![]() | 47.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.42% (![]() | 69.58% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.8% (![]() | 18.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.8% (![]() | 49.2% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.99% (![]() | 34.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.31% (![]() | 70.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.43% Total : 52% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |