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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Carlisle United

Stevenage
2 - 2
Carlisle

Reid (15', 74')
McNeill (37'), Roberts (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maguire (20'), Garner (90')
Gibson (31'), Guy (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stevenage 2-0 Carlisle United

Carlisle United will have a renewed sense of optimism from last weekend's win, but Stevenage have momentum on their side following their promotion and fine start to the new campaign, and we see them having too much for the Cumbrians on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawCarlisle United
41.26% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 28.25% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.04% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)59.97% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.79% (-0.004999999999999 -0)80.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (0.0049999999999955 0)28.59% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.39% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.55% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)72.32% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 41.26%
    Carlisle United 30.49%
    Draw 28.25%
StevenageDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 12.72%
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 41.26%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 10.16%
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 10.51%
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 30.49%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Carlisle

Stevenage
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stevenage
2-1
Carlisle
Smith (16'), Clark (42')
Norris (89'), Ashby-Hammond (90+2')
Dennis (45+2')
Harris (69')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Carlisle
2-1
Stevenage
Riley (52'), Alessandra (63')
Norris (88' pen.)
Taylor (33')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
0-2
Carlisle

Wildin (72')
Mellish (45'), Gibson (65' pen.)
Mellor (7')
Mar 20, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 37
Stevenage
3-1
Carlisle
Pett (23'), Norris (60'), Read (71')
Lines (64')
Dickenson (55')
Guy (45+2'), Tanner (45+2')
McDonald (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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