League One

League One | Gameweek 10

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
0 - 1
Bolton

Iacovitti (3'), Balmer (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Charles (43')
Iredale (64'), Morley (68'), Sheehan (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League One clash between Port Vale and Bolton Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Sutton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 8-1 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
28.97% ( 0.02)	25.91% ( -0.01)	45.12% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.14% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.21% (

0.05)

51.79% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.44% (

0.05)

73.55% (

-0.05)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62% (

0.04)

32.38% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11% (

0.05)

68.89% (

-0.05)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.11% (

0.02)

22.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.36% (

0.03)

56.64% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 28.97%

Bolton Wanderers 45.12%

Draw 25.91%

Port Vale	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.97%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.12%