MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 17:17:12| >> :600:522011:522011:
Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Salford City

Bolton
3 - 0
Salford City

Mendes Gomes (1'), Santos (12'), Morley (53')
Matheson (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Berkoe (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Derby
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Salford City

Salford have certainly proved that there are not to be taken lightly in knockout football this season, but a seven-game run without a clean sheet is an unwelcome statistic before a trip to the holders. International call-ups will force Evatt into a few alterations, and Bolton may have lost their way a tad over the past couple of weeks, but they should still commence the defence of their title with a maximum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawSalford City
47.85% (-0.975 -0.98) 23.69% (0.231 0.23) 28.45% (0.741 0.74)
Both teams to score 59.11% (-0.222 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.51% (-0.55 -0.55)42.48% (0.547 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (-0.55 -0.55)64.89% (0.548 0.55)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.587 -0.59)17.94% (0.585 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-1.016 -1.02)48.76% (1.013 1.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (0.24199999999999 0.24)27.96% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (0.31 0.31)63.59% (-0.312 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 47.85%
    Salford City 28.45%
    Draw 23.69%
Bolton WanderersDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.85%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 7% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.197 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.07% (0.153 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 28.45%

How you voted: Bolton vs Salford City

Bolton Wanderers
84.8%
Draw
9.1%
Salford City
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Bolton
5-1
Salford City
Kachunga (31'), Dadi Bodvarsson (42'), Sadlier (61'), Bradley (77'), Afolayan (86')
Thomason (90+2')
Thomas-Asante (23')
Vassell (70'), Watson (74'), Bolton (82')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Salford City
0-1
Bolton

Clarke (23'), Burgess (80'), Hunter (87')
Isgrove (23')
Lee (29'), Williams (45'), Thomason (76')
Nov 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Bolton
2-0
Salford City
Doyle (23'), Turnbull (67' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton121110924-154


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!