EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
3 - 0
Salford City

Mendes Gomes (1'), Santos (12'), Morley (53')
Matheson (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Berkoe (45')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Derby
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salford City

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Salford City

Salford have certainly proved that there are not to be taken lightly in knockout football this season, but a seven-game run without a clean sheet is an unwelcome statistic before a trip to the holders. International call-ups will force Evatt into a few alterations, and Bolton may have lost their way a tad over the past couple of weeks, but they should still commence the defence of their title with a maximum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Salford City
47.85% ( -0.98)	23.69% ( 0.23)	28.45% ( 0.74)

Both teams to score 59.11% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.51% (

-0.55)

42.48% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.11% (

-0.55)

64.89% (

0.55)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

-0.59)

17.94% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.24% (

-1.02)

48.76% (

1.01)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04% (

0.24)

27.96% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.41% (

0.31)

63.59% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 47.85%

Salford City 28.45%

Draw 23.69%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Salford City
2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.85%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.69%	1-2 @ 7% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.45%