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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Peterborough United |
41.46% ( -0.23) | 23.8% ( 0.07) | 34.74% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 61.85% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.78% ( -0.28) | 40.21% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.41% ( -0.29) | 62.58% ( 0.29) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.31% ( -0.22) | 19.68% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.32% ( -0.36) | 51.68% ( 0.36) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.01% ( -0.04) | 22.99% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.21% ( -0.06) | 56.79% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |