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League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Peterborough United

Carlisle
1 - 1
Peterborough

Gibson (90+6')
Back (76'), Moxon (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edwards (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Peterborough United

 Peterborough have taken only two points from their last three games, but we expect them to better that tally on Tuesday alone by beating Carlisle. Simpson's side look like they may be lacking quality in order to survive at this level, but they will continue to fight hard and will not make things easy for their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawPeterborough United
31.78% (-0.45 -0.45) 24.9% (-0.199 -0.2) 43.32% (0.65 0.65)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.498 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (0.727 0.73)46.25% (-0.723 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (0.683 0.68)68.55% (-0.67699999999999 -0.68)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (0.070999999999998 0.07)27.63% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (0.090000000000003 0.09)63.16% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (0.61199999999999 0.61)21.38% (-0.608 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (0.932 0.93)54.36% (-0.928 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 31.78%
    Peterborough United 43.32%
    Draw 24.9%
Carlisle UnitedDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 7.6% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.78%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.03% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.059 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 43.32%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Peterborough

Carlisle United
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Peterborough United
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2014 3pm
First Round
Peterborough
2-1
Carlisle
Burgess (42', 91')
Vassell (45')
Asamoah (8')
Apr 21, 2014 3pm
Peterborough
4-1
Carlisle
Washington (14'), Assombalonga (55' pen., 73' pen.), Bostwick (90')
Baldwin (19'), Nugent (53')
Miller (63')
Pickford (73')
Dec 29, 2013 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Peterborough
Amoo (72', 73')
Noble (19'), Buaben (42'), O'Hanlon (60')
Tomlin (61')
Assombalonga (49'), Swanson (68'), Little (90'), Tomlin (90')
Ephraim (52')
> Match Report
Mar 12, 2011 3pm
Peterborough
6-0
Carlisle
Bennett (77'), Rowe (2'), Boyd (45', 83'), Mackail-Smith (24'), Ball (90')

Curran (41'), Cooper (45'), Berrett (90')
Cooper (63')
Oct 2, 2010 3pm
Carlisle
0-1
Peterborough
Mackail-Smith (32')
McLean (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91
> League One Full Table


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