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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
34.42% (![]() | 26.49% | 39.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.59% (![]() | 52.41% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.91% (![]() | 74.09% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.03% (![]() | 28.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.14% (![]() | 64.86% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% (![]() | 26.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.67% (![]() | 61.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9.41% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.6% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 10.16% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.43% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |