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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
3 - 0
Port Vale

McCormick (25'), Hunt (45+2'), Brown (85')
Grant (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Debrah (18'), Devine (42')
Debrah (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Port Vale

 Although Port Vale will be looking to end their three-game winless league run, we think that they will have to settle for a point when they face a Bristol Rovers side that have taken four points from their last two home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
48.72% (-1.191 -1.19) 24.07% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 27.2% (1.172 1.17)
Both teams to score 56.82% (0.969 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (0.802 0.8)45.07% (-0.8 -0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (0.766 0.77)67.42% (-0.764 -0.76)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)18.6% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.12% (-0.271 -0.27)49.88% (0.273 0.27)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (1.326 1.33)30.2% (-1.325 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64% (1.558 1.56)66.36% (-1.555 -1.56)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 48.72%
    Port Vale 27.2%
    Draw 24.07%
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.379 -0.38)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.72%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.224 0.22)
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.153 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.182 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.143 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 27.2%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Port Vale
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Port Vale
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Harrison (22'), Pett (29')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Port Vale
Collins (87')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Port Vale
1-3
Bristol Rovers
Proctor (2')
Hall (47'), Benning (49')
Anderson (10'), Connolly (32'), Loft (90+4')
Taylor (8'), Anderson (22'), Coutts (45'), Grant (51'), Finley (77'), Anderson (90+5')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Port Vale
Collins (56')
Whelan (86'), Pitman (90+5')
Finley (15'), Harries (77')
Garrity (31', 33')
Jones (58'), Politic (60')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke (16'), Nichols (62' pen.), Rodman (68')
Clarke (22'), Rodman (45')

Hannant (45'), Conlon (54')
Conlon (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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