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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
48.72% ( -1.19) | 24.07% ( 0.02) | 27.2% ( 1.17) |
Both teams to score 56.82% ( 0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.93% ( 0.8) | 45.07% ( -0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.58% ( 0.77) | 67.42% ( -0.76) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.41% ( -0.16) | 18.6% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.12% ( -0.27) | 49.88% ( 0.27) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.8% ( 1.33) | 30.2% ( -1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.64% ( 1.56) | 66.36% ( -1.56) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 48.72% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |