League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
3 - 0
Port Vale

McCormick (25'), Hunt (45+2'), Brown (85')
Grant (47')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Debrah (18'), Devine (42')
Debrah (38')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Port Vale

Although Port Vale will be looking to end their three-game winless league run, we think that they will have to settle for a point when they face a Bristol Rovers side that have taken four points from their last two home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Port Vale
48.72% ( -1.19)	24.07% ( 0.02)	27.2% ( 1.17)

Both teams to score 56.82% (

0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.93% (

0.8)

45.07% (

-0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.58% (

0.77)

67.42% (

-0.76)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.41% (

-0.16)

18.6% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.12% (

-0.27)

49.88% (

0.27)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.8% (

1.33)

30.2% (

-1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.64% (

1.56)

66.36% (

-1.56)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 48.72%

Port Vale 27.2%

Draw 24.07%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Port Vale
2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 48.72%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.07%	1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.2%