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League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Cambridge United

Reading
4 - 0
Cambridge

Smith (11'), Azeez (45+2'), Wing (62'), Ehibhaimha (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bennett (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-1 Reading
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 6-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-1 Cambridge United

This should be a fiercely-contested affair given that both sides are level on points just above the relegation zone, but Reading boast slightly better form than their opponents. Cambridge will almost certainly perform much better than when they were beaten by six goals against in-form Lincoln in midweek, but we are backing the hosts to gain a crucial victory by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCambridge United
61.97% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 20.93% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.1% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.82% (0.0040000000000049 0)43.17% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)40.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02)38.63% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.016000000000002 0.02)75.37% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Reading 61.95%
    Cambridge United 17.1%
    Draw 20.93%
ReadingDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 10.45%
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 61.95%
1-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.93%
0-1 @ 4.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.1%

How you voted: Reading vs Cambridge

Reading
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Cambridge United
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
1-0
Reading
Okenabirhie (83')
Morrison (65')

Dean (27'), Hutchinson (68'), Yiadom (70'), Savage (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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