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League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Cambridge United

Reading
4 - 0
Cambridge

Smith (11'), Azeez (45+2'), Wing (62'), Ehibhaimha (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bennett (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-1 Reading
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 6-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-1 Cambridge United

This should be a fiercely-contested affair given that both sides are level on points just above the relegation zone, but Reading boast slightly better form than their opponents. Cambridge will almost certainly perform much better than when they were beaten by six goals against in-form Lincoln in midweek, but we are backing the hosts to gain a crucial victory by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCambridge United
61.97% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 20.93% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.1% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.82% (0.0040000000000049 0)43.17% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)40.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02)38.63% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.016000000000002 0.02)75.37% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Reading 61.95%
    Cambridge United 17.1%
    Draw 20.93%
ReadingDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 10.45%
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 61.95%
1-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.93%
0-1 @ 4.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.1%

How you voted: Reading vs Cambridge

Reading
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Cambridge United
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
1-0
Reading
Okenabirhie (83')
Morrison (65')

Dean (27'), Hutchinson (68'), Yiadom (70'), Savage (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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