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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Cambridge United |
61.97% ( -0.02) | 20.93% ( 0) | 17.1% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.15% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.82% ( 0) | 43.17% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.42% ( 0.01) | 65.57% ( -0.01) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.61% ( -0) | 13.39% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.69% ( -0.01) | 40.31% ( 0.01) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.37% ( 0.02) | 38.63% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.63% ( 0.02) | 75.37% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-0 @ 10.45% 1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.09% Total : 61.95% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.93% | 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |