League One

League One | Gameweek 39

Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

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Reading
4 - 0
Cambridge

Smith (11'), Azeez (45+2'), Wing (62'), Ehibhaimha (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bennett (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 2-1 Reading
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambridge United

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 6-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Reading 2-1 Cambridge United

This should be a fiercely-contested affair given that both sides are level on points just above the relegation zone, but Reading boast slightly better form than their opponents. Cambridge will almost certainly perform much better than when they were beaten by six goals against in-form Lincoln in midweek, but we are backing the hosts to gain a crucial victory by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Cambridge United
61.97% ( -0.02)	20.93% ( 0)	17.1% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.15% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.82% (

43.17% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.42% (

0.01)

65.57% (

-0.01)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.61% (

-0)

13.39% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.69% (

-0.01)

40.31% (

0.01)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.37% (

0.02)

38.63% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.63% (

0.02)

75.37% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Reading 61.95%

Cambridge United 17.1%

Draw 20.93%

Reading	Draw	Cambridge United
2-0 @ 10.45% 1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.09% Total : 61.95%	1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.93%	0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.1%