Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Reading
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 5-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in League One
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in League One
We said: Derby County 1-1 Bolton Wanderers
The two teams will want to claim maximum points to boost their promotion hopes, but with Derby and Bolton both desperate to avoid defeat, we think that a close-fought contest could finish all square. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 48.67% | 24.5% | 26.83% |
Both teams to score 55.07% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
0.01)
