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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
32.53% ( 0.03) | 26.1% ( -0.09) | 41.37% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.2% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.82% ( 0.39) | 51.18% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.98% ( 0.34) | 73.02% ( -0.34) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.43% ( 0.21) | 29.57% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.4% ( 0.26) | 65.6% ( -0.26) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.54% ( 0.21) | 24.46% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.1% ( 0.29) | 58.9% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.53% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |