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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Lincoln City

Cambridge
0 - 2
Lincoln


N'Lundulu (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Draper (26'), Cadamarteri (68')
Makama (37'), Cadamarteri (71'), Jackson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Wigan
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-2 Lincoln City

It has been a tough start to the season for Cambridge and we do not expect that to change on Saturday when Lincoln visit, but their last three defeats have only been by one goal, so this could be a tougher assignment for Lincoln than it initially appears on paper. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 25.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawLincoln City
25.31% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 26.76% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 47.93% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.99% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83% (0.107 0.11)57.17% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (0.085000000000001 0.09)78.03% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.74% (0.023000000000003 0.02)38.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.98% (0.021000000000001 0.02)75.01% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (0.084999999999994 0.08)23.9% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89% (0.122 0.12)58.11% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 25.31%
    Lincoln City 47.93%
    Draw 26.76%
Cambridge UnitedDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-0 @ 4.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 25.31%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.14% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 13.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.37% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 9% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 47.93%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Lincoln

Cambridge United
8.7%
Draw
4.3%
Lincoln City
87.0%
23
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Lincoln
6-0
Cambridge
Moylan (3', 25'), Taylor (48', 74'), Eyoma (85'), Duffy (86')
Duffy (90+1'), Taylor (90+7')

Andrew (80'), Brophy (83')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Cambridge
0-3
Lincoln

Ahadme (9'), Cousins (15')
Mandroiu (16' pen.), Duffy (32'), Vale (85')
Vale (77'), Mitchell (88')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Cambridge
2-0
Lincoln
Ironside (24', 27')

O'Connor (86')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Lincoln
0-1
Cambridge
Ironside (90+1')
Brophy (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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