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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Barnsley

Lincoln
1 - 2
Barnsley

House (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cosgrove (13'), Roberts (47')
Russell (65'), Cosgrove (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Harrogate
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Barnsley

We anticipate a tight and hard-fought contest on Saturday between two sides with plenty of quality and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for a low-scoring draw at the LNER Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBarnsley
35.99% (-0.641 -0.64) 25.35% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 38.66% (0.56 0.56)
Both teams to score 56.44% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.426 -0.43)47.32% (0.43 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.397 -0.4)69.55% (0.399 0.4)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.55799999999999 -0.56)25.6% (0.563 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.768 -0.77)60.48% (0.771 0.77)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (0.102 0.1)24.14% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (0.145 0.15)58.45% (-0.141 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 35.99%
    Barnsley 38.66%
    Draw 25.34%
Lincoln CityDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 35.99%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.182 0.18)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 38.66%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Barnsley

Lincoln City
41.7%
Draw
25.0%
Barnsley
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Barnsley
1-5
Lincoln
Phillips (77')
Kane (41'), Cole (52'), O'Keeffe (86')
Taylor (15'), Moylan (55', 72'), Mandroiu (58'), Makama (79')
House (45'), Hackett (70')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Lincoln
2-2
Barnsley
Mandroiu (5' pen.), Eyoma (88')
Vale (90+2')
Cotter (68'), McAtee (72')
McCart (90+6')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Barnsley
0-1
Lincoln
Mandroiu (45+4')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Barnsley
0-3
Lincoln

Moon (10'), Hondermarck (73')
Norwood (22')
Bishop (15', 17'), Makama (90+3')
Sorensen (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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