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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Barnsley

Lincoln
1 - 2
Barnsley

House (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cosgrove (13'), Roberts (47')
Russell (65'), Cosgrove (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Harrogate
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Barnsley

We anticipate a tight and hard-fought contest on Saturday between two sides with plenty of quality and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for a low-scoring draw at the LNER Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBarnsley
35.99% (-0.641 -0.64) 25.35% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 38.66% (0.56 0.56)
Both teams to score 56.44% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.426 -0.43)47.32% (0.43 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.397 -0.4)69.55% (0.399 0.4)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.55799999999999 -0.56)25.6% (0.563 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.768 -0.77)60.48% (0.771 0.77)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (0.102 0.1)24.14% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (0.145 0.15)58.45% (-0.141 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 35.99%
    Barnsley 38.66%
    Draw 25.34%
Lincoln CityDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 35.99%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.182 0.18)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 38.66%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Barnsley

Lincoln City
41.7%
Draw
25.0%
Barnsley
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Barnsley
1-5
Lincoln
Phillips (77')
Kane (41'), Cole (52'), O'Keeffe (86')
Taylor (15'), Moylan (55', 72'), Mandroiu (58'), Makama (79')
House (45'), Hackett (70')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Lincoln
2-2
Barnsley
Mandroiu (5' pen.), Eyoma (88')
Vale (90+2')
Cotter (68'), McAtee (72')
McCart (90+6')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Barnsley
0-1
Lincoln
Mandroiu (45+4')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Barnsley
0-3
Lincoln

Moon (10'), Hondermarck (73')
Norwood (22')
Bishop (15', 17'), Makama (90+3')
Sorensen (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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