League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
0 - 2
Fleetwood

Street (55'), Freestone (65')
Davies (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Quitirna (19'), Marriott (79')
Omochere (9'), Lawal (39'), Robertson (59'), Broom (72'), Stockley (90+9')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Fleetwood Town

While the hosts have been very poor this season, they were arguably a little unlucky not to score in their last match, having recorded more shots on target than their opponents. The Robbins may not go on to win this match, but we feel that they will break their duck in front of goal in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Fleetwood Town
25.2% ( 0.3)	24.44% ( 0.11)	50.36% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 53.79% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.78% (

-0.2)

48.22% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.63% (

-0.19)

70.37% (

0.18)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.54% (

0.14)

33.46% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.91% (

0.15)

70.09% (

-0.16)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.84% (

-0.24)

19.17% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.17% (

-0.39)

50.83% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 25.2%

Fleetwood Town 50.36%

Draw 24.43%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.2%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.36%