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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Oxford United |
34.12% ( -0) | 27.2% ( 0) | 38.68% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.1% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.69% ( 0) | 55.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.48% | 76.52% ( 0) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.41% ( -0) | 30.59% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.18% ( -0) | 66.82% ( 0) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.18% | 27.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.59% ( 0) | 63.41% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 10.07% 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.12% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 10.88% 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |