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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Peterborough
3 - 0
Cheltenham

Burrows (54'), Clarke-Harris (61'), Kioso (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Cheltenham Town

While Peterborough may be experiencing a poor run of results, we think that they will prove too strong for a Cheltenham side bereft of confidence after losing six of their opening seven league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
55.87% (1.622 1.62) 22.9% (-0.152 -0.15) 21.23% (-1.463 -1.46)
Both teams to score 53.9% (-1.526 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (-1.055 -1.06)45.76% (1.063 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (-1.012 -1.01)68.07% (1.019 1.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (0.193 0.19)16.21% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (0.343 0.34)45.7% (-0.336 -0.34)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32% (-1.969 -1.97)35.68% (1.977 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.55% (-2.086 -2.09)72.45% (2.094 2.09)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 55.86%
    Cheltenham Town 21.23%
    Draw 22.9%
Peterborough UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.52% (0.528 0.53)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.58% (0.541 0.54)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.363 0.36)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.18 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.257 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 21.23%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Cheltenham

Peterborough United
71.4%
Draw
21.4%
Cheltenham Town
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Peterborough
0-3
Cheltenham
Bradbury (15'), May (21', 74')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cheltenham
2-3
Peterborough
Kent (30' og.), May (39')
Jackson (48'), Freestone (89')
Marriott (59'), Clarke-Harris (66', 72')
Fuchs (45+1'), Kent (61')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
Dec 28, 2008 3pm
Cheltenham
3-6
Peterborough
Vincent (48' pen.), Hammond (67'), Owusu (86')
Ridley (58')
Hayles (90')
Wright (75' og.), Whelpdale (90'), Lee (60'), Boyd (3'), Mackail-Smith (63'), McLean (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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