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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
55.87% (![]() | 22.9% (![]() | 21.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.25% (![]() | 45.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.93% (![]() | 68.07% (![]() |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.8% (![]() | 16.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.3% (![]() | 45.7% (![]() |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.32% (![]() | 35.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.55% (![]() | 72.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 10.52% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.87% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 55.86% | 1-1 @ 10.84% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 5.96% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 79 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 68 |
3 | Wrexham | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 62 |
5 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 60 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 58 |
8 | Reading | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 55 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 53 |
10 | Barnsley | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Blackpool | 35 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 48 |
12 | Stevenage | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 46 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 44 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 43 |
16 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 41 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 41 |
18 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 40 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 39 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
21 | Burton Albion | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 33 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 30 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 29 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 28 |
> League One Full Table |