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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Lincoln
2 - 0
Cheltenham

Sorensen (5', 21')
Jackson (11'), Kennedy (12'), Bishop (44'), Hamilton (81'), Erhahon (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Harris (77'), Bevan (81')
Coverage of the League One clash between Lincoln City and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 West Ham
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawCheltenham Town
43.4% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 26.89% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 29.71% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)55.31% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)76.53% (0.038000000000011 0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)25.28% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)60.04% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (0.016000000000005 0.02)33.67% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (0.017999999999997 0.02)70.32% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 43.4%
    Cheltenham Town 29.71%
    Draw 26.89%
Lincoln CityDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.7%
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 9.27% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 29.71%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Lincoln
2-0
Cheltenham
House (42', 79')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Lincoln
3-0
Cheltenham
Whittaker (4', 19'), Scully (17')

Ramsey (8'), Freestone (57'), May (81')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Cheltenham
2-2
Lincoln
May (17'), Blair (90+5')
Long (59'), Raglan (69'), May (71'), Williams (90+3'), Pollock (90+6')
Bishop (69', 90+1')
Bridcutt (65'), McGrandles (75')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Lincoln
1-1
Cheltenham
McCartan (18')
McCartan (64')
Lloyd (73')
Tillson (37')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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