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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
43.4% ( -0.08) | 26.89% ( 0.02) | 29.71% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 49.56% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.69% ( -0.05) | 55.31% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.47% ( -0.04) | 76.53% ( 0.04) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.72% ( -0.06) | 25.28% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.96% ( -0.08) | 60.04% ( 0.08) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.33% ( 0.02) | 33.67% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.68% ( 0.02) | 70.32% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.38% Total : 29.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
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