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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Cheltenham Town

Exeter
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Watts (68')
Wildschut (38'), Scott (75'), Carroll (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (18'), Williams (61')
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 4-1 Cheltenham
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCheltenham Town
50.77% (0.124 0.12) 24.89% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 24.34% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.19% (-0.15 -0.15)50.8% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (-0.133 -0.13)72.69% (0.137 0.14)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.01% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (-0.196 -0.2)35.6% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (-0.205 -0.2)72.37% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 50.77%
    Cheltenham Town 24.34%
    Draw 24.88%
Exeter CityDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 50.77%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 7.12% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 24.34%

How you voted: Exeter vs Cheltenham

Exeter City
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cheltenham
3-1
Exeter
Keena (17'), Taylor (74'), May (79')
Key (69')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham
N'Lundulu (56')
Long (77'), Southwood (79'), Williams (80'), Freestone (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Cheltenham
0-7
Exeter

Lloyd (38'), Horton (63')
Nombe (23', 35'), Collins (26'), Jay (28'), Sparkes (45+1'), Kite (50'), Coley (84')
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Cheltenham
2-2
Exeter
Exeter win 3-2 on penalties
Chapman (37'), Miles (70')
Daniel (8'), Collins (38')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham

Taylor (81')
Williams (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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