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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Reading logo

Cheltenham
2 - 2
Reading

Sercombe (29'), Button (37' og.)
Pett (68'), Smith (79')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Dorsett (45'), Mukairu (45+2')
Mbengue (27'), Smith (32'), Dorsett (36'), Knibbs (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Reading
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Reading

Reading have the worst away record in League One this season, collecting just five points from 11 matches, but we are expecting them to pick up all three points here despite Cheltenham's recent improvement. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawReading
33.94% (0.187 0.19) 25.72% (0.0010000000000012 0) 40.34% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 54.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77% (0.044000000000004 0.04)49.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (0.038999999999998 0.04)71.29% (-0.035999999999987 -0.04)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (0.137 0.14)27.72% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.175 0.17)63.28% (-0.171 -0.17)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)24.12% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (-0.108 -0.11)58.42% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 33.95%
    Reading 40.34%
    Draw 25.71%
Cheltenham TownDrawReading
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.34%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Reading

Cheltenham Town
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
Reading
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Reading
1-0
Cheltenham
Ferry (33' og.)
Carson (49'), McIntyre (90+6')

Elliott (0'), Long (38'), Street (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe23155349252450
2Birmingham CityBirmingham22155238172150
3Wrexham24146436181848
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Reading2312473933640
6Barnsley2411673633339
7Stockport CountyStockport24108636251138
8Leyton Orient2310493122934
9Mansfield TownMansfield2210482925434
10Bolton WanderersBolton2210483333034
11Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
12Lincoln CityLincoln248792830-231
13Exeter CityExeter2394102729-231
14Stevenage228681820-230
15Blackpool237883134-329
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham227692123-227
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2374124145-425
19Northampton TownNorthampton2458112339-1623
20Bristol Rovers2364132138-1722
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2345142443-1917
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2345142242-2017
24Burton Albion2328132037-1714


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