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League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
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Cheltenham
2 - 2
Reading

Sercombe (29'), Button (37' og.)
Pett (68'), Smith (79')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Dorsett (45'), Mukairu (45+2')
Mbengue (27'), Smith (32'), Dorsett (36'), Knibbs (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Reading

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Reading
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Reading

 Reading have the worst away record in League One this season, collecting just five points from 11 matches, but we are expecting them to pick up all three points here despite Cheltenham's recent improvement. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawReading
33.94% (0.187 0.19) 25.72% (0.0010000000000012 0) 40.34% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 54.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77% (0.044000000000004 0.04)49.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (0.038999999999998 0.04)71.29% (-0.035999999999987 -0.04)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (0.137 0.14)27.72% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.175 0.17)63.28% (-0.171 -0.17)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)24.12% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (-0.108 -0.11)58.42% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 33.95%
    Reading 40.34%
    Draw 25.71%
Cheltenham TownDrawReading
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.34%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Reading

Cheltenham Town
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
Reading
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Reading
1-0
Cheltenham
Ferry (33' og.)
Carson (49'), McIntyre (90+6')

Elliott (0'), Long (38'), Street (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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