Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.