We said: Reading 2-2 Barnsley
While Reading may be languishing in the relegation zone, one defeat in five competitive matches suggests that the Royals may be on the up, and we think that Selles's rejuvenated side will do enough to take a point off playoff-chasing Barnsley on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.