League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Northampton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Cheltenham Town
With both teams struggling to score goals and sitting within the relegation places, this could be a scrappy contest. A victory for either team would be a huge boost to their survival hopes. However, we can envisage them having to share the spoils after a low-scoring draw. Both sides conceded injury-time goals to drop points last time out and may be content with avoiding defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
48.66% ( -0.64) | 25.52% ( 0.23) | 25.82% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
