Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.