League One

League One | Gameweek 13

Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK

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Reading
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Smith (43')
Craig (19'), Holmes (51')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Brown (39')
Thorniley (37')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Reading and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Reading 1-3 Barnsley
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

We said: Reading 1-2 Oxford United

Although the U's have failed to win any of their opening three league games under Buckingham, we think that they will have the extra quality required to beat a Reading side that are languishing in the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Reading	Draw	Oxford United
35.91% ( -0)	24.53% ( 0)	39.57% ( 0)

Both teams to score 59.38% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.48% (

-0.01)

43.51% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.09% (

-0.01)

65.91% (

0.01)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12% (

-0)

23.88% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.92% (

-0.01)

58.07% (

0.01)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.01% (

-0)

21.98% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.71% (

-0.01)

55.29% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Reading 35.91%

Oxford United 39.57%

Draw 24.52%

Reading	Draw	Oxford United
2-1 @ 8.16% 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 35.91%	1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.52%	1-2 @ 8.63% 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.36% 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.57%