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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Stockport County

Crawley
1 - 1
Stockport

Quitirna (68' pen.)
Anderson (14'), Lindsey (15'), Williams (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barry (6')
Onyango (40'), Norwood (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-4 Stockport
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Stockport County

While Crawley have avoided defeat in their last two matches against this opponent at this venue, their attack did look blunt leading up to the international break, which does not bode well for their chances against a Stockport side that have only conceded one goal this term. The time off may have given the hosts a chance to reset, but we feel the Hatters will still come away with the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
28.12% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 21.65% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 50.23% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 66.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.11% (0.075000000000003 0.08)32.88% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.41% (0.086999999999996 0.09)54.59% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)57.2% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (0.039999999999992 0.04)13.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.38% (0.073999999999998 0.07)40.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.12%
    Stockport County 50.23%
    Draw 21.65%
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.12%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.65%
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.46% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-4 @ 3.06% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 50.23%

How you voted: Crawley vs Stockport

Crawley Town
22.2%
Draw
16.7%
Stockport County
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Crawley
1-1
Stockport
Lolas (83')
Lindsey (21'), Orsi (54')
Sarcevic (61')
Pye (20')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stockport
3-3
Crawley
Barry (13'), Sarcevic (36'), Olaofe (89')
Powell (56')
Campbell (42'), Maguire (54'), Orsi (66')
Gladwin (38'), Orsi (56'), Lolas (71'), Henry (85'), Williams (90+1')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Stockport
2-1
Crawley
Wootton (12', 51')
Powell (9')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Crawley
3-2
Stockport
Tilley (5'), Telford (35'), Tsaroulla (56')
Crankshaw (17'), Hussey (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham9711179822
2Wrexham106221881020
3Mansfield TownMansfield96211711620
4Lincoln CityLincoln9531158718
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe95221713417
6Stockport CountyStockport9441137616
7Exeter CityExeter9513106416
8Charlton AthleticCharlton10514109116
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield105051411315
10Blackpool104331716115
11Barnsley104331515015
12Stevenage1042487114
13Bolton WanderersBolton94231515014
14Peterborough UnitedPeterborough104241618-214
15Wigan AthleticWigan1034395413
16Reading94141314-113
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham10343911-213
18Bristol Rovers104151316-313
19Leyton Orient102261014-48
20Northampton TownNorthampton92251117-68
21Crawley TownCrawley9216513-87
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury10127817-95
23Burton Albion90451019-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge9018617-111


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