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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Stockport County

Crawley
1 - 1
Stockport

Lolas (83')
Lindsey (21'), Orsi (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sarcevic (61')
Pye (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Notts County
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Stockport County

Stockport have seen three of their last four matches finish all square, and we think that they will have to settle for another draw in Monday's tricky away clash with an in-form Crawley side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
31.59% (-0.414 -0.41) 23.22% (0.229 0.23) 45.18% (0.187 0.19)
Both teams to score 62.78% (-1.057 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.49% (-1.301 -1.3)38.5% (1.301 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.2% (-1.392 -1.39)60.79% (1.394 1.39)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (-0.869 -0.87)23.96% (0.872 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (-1.258 -1.26)58.2% (1.26 1.26)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (-0.44 -0.44)17.43% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.11% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)47.88% (0.774 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 31.59%
    Stockport County 45.18%
    Draw 23.22%
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.97% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.59%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.254 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.342 0.34)
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.71% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 45.18%

How you voted: Crawley vs Stockport

Crawley Town
47.3%
Draw
16.4%
Stockport County
36.4%
110
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stockport
3-3
Crawley
Barry (13'), Sarcevic (36'), Olaofe (89')
Powell (56')
Campbell (42'), Maguire (54'), Orsi (66')
Gladwin (38'), Orsi (56'), Lolas (71'), Henry (85'), Williams (90+1')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Stockport
2-1
Crawley
Wootton (12', 51')
Powell (9')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Crawley
3-2
Stockport
Tilley (5'), Telford (35'), Tsaroulla (56')
Crankshaw (17'), Hussey (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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