League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley0 - 3Barnsley
FT(HT: 0-3)
Pines (12'), Phillips (23', 45+2' pen.)
Pines (13'), Hepburn-Murphy (65'), Connell (85'), Yoganathan (90+4')
Pines (13'), Hepburn-Murphy (65'), Connell (85'), Yoganathan (90+4')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brighton 4-0 Crawley
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Barnsley
Crawley Town have shown positive signs on their return to League One and should have plenty of optimism under Scott Lindsey, but they may lack the quality to match Barnsley on Saturday and could succumb to a narrow defeat against a Reds side growing in confidence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Barnsley |
30.73% ( 0.06) | 22.81% ( -0.01) | 46.46% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.84% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
