Accrington1 - 4Stockport
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Stockport County
Stockport's midfield has a bit of a decimated feel to it right now, but they have taken League One by storm and were scoring for fun in their two games versus Accrington last year. With the hosts still lacking that winning formula, Tuesday's game might be a foregone conclusion from the first whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Stockport County |
30.48% ( 0.39) | 24.33% ( 0.1) | 45.19% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 58.22% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.76% ( -0.28) | 44.24% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.38% ( -0.27) | 66.62% ( 0.27) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.52% ( 0.12) | 27.48% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.03% ( 0.16) | 62.97% ( -0.16) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% ( -0.32) | 19.72% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.27% ( -0.52) | 51.73% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.48% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.04% Total : 45.19% |
