Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.