League One

League One | Gameweek 31

Feb 23, 2021 at 7pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
2 - 0
Accrington

Beckles (32'), Porter (79')
Lowery (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (70')
Rodgers (50')

David Artell credits change in formation for vital Crewe victory

The Railwaymen were 2-0 winners against Accrington.

Feb 23, 22:33

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Accrington Stanley
48.35%	24.73%	26.92%

Both teams to score 54.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.88%

48.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.72%

70.27%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05%

19.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.9%

52.1%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.99%

32.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.53%

68.47%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 48.35%

Accrington Stanley 26.92%

Draw 24.72%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.87% Total : 48.35%	1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 7.27% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.68% Total : 26.92%