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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
41.87% | 27.22% | 30.92% |
Both teams to score 49.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.9% | 56.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.83% | 77.17% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.57% | 26.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.39% | 61.6% |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.81% | 33.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.2% | 69.8% |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.86% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |