League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Doncaster0 - 1Gillingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Doncaster
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Gillingham | 46 | -34 | 40 |
| 22 | Doncaster Rovers | 46 | -45 | 38 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -26 | 37 |
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Rotherham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | -20 | 40 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 46 | -34 | 40 |
| 22 | Doncaster Rovers | 46 | -45 | 38 |
We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Gillingham
Given the major importance of the meeting in the battle for survival, we expect this to be a cagey affair and just give the edge to the hosts. McSheffrey's side have looked far more competent recently, and, if they are able to lift the mood in the camp after a heavy defeat, they could have enough to secure all three points with home advantage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 28.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gillingham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Gillingham |
| 28.18% | 28.19% | 43.62% |
| Both teams to score 45.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
