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Championship header 2

League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Cambridge United

Exeter
1 - 0
Cambridge

Woods (23')
Yfeko (45+2'), Woods (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Loft (19'), Monk (20'), Andrew (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Cambridge United

 Neither side scores many goals, but Exeter are full of confidence at the moment - and that is in short supply as far as Cambridge are concerned. A home win is by far the most likely outcome, with the visitors left to contemplate at least another two weeks in last place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
60.58% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.34% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 17.09% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 48.61% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (0.11199999999999 0.11)49.22% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (0.102 0.1)71.28% (-0.101 -0.1)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (0.046999999999997 0.05)15.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03% (0.084000000000003 0.08)44.97% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.74% (0.071000000000005 0.07)42.26% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.34% (0.062000000000001 0.06)78.66% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 60.57%
    Cambridge United 17.09%
    Draw 22.33%
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 12.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.22% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 60.57%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 5.76% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.09%

How you voted: Exeter vs Cambridge

Exeter City
93.8%
Draw
6.3%
Cambridge United
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Exeter
0-0
Cambridge
Purrington (39'), Niskanen (45+1')
Andrew (27'), Taylor (31'), Digby (50'), Kachunga (56')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Cambridge
2-0
Exeter
Ahadme (17' pen.), Kachunga (84')

Carroll (20'), Cole (45+2')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (18'), McDonald (53')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
Smith (60'), Digby (88')
Digby (29'), Dunk (44'), Lankester (90+6')
Brown (39')
Sweeney (45+1'), Coley (86')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
May (23'), Knibbs (88')
Okedina (9')
Nombe (10' pen.)
Caprice (60'), Ray (82'), Dawson (88'), Collins (90+8')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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