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Championship header 2

League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Exeter City

Cambridge
2 - 0
Exeter

Ahadme (17' pen.), Kachunga (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carroll (20'), Cole (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Exeter City

 Both teams will view Friday's fixture as a winnable game in their quest to climb further adrift of the bottom four, but the momentum is with a rejuvenated Cambridge outfit and they should have enough firepower at their disposal to outscore Exeter on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawExeter City
44.98% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 25.42% (0.052 0.05) 29.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.228 -0.23)49.44% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.205 -0.21)71.48% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.11 -0.11)21.96% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (-0.166 -0.17)55.25% (0.163 0.16)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.134 -0.13)30.7% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-0.156 -0.16)66.96% (0.15299999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 44.98%
    Exeter City 29.6%
    Draw 25.41%
Cambridge UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.98%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.6%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Exeter

Cambridge United
70.6%
Draw
5.9%
Exeter City
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (18'), McDonald (53')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
Smith (60'), Digby (88')
Digby (29'), Dunk (44'), Lankester (90+6')
Brown (39')
Sweeney (45+1'), Coley (86')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
May (23'), Knibbs (88')
Okedina (9')
Nombe (10' pen.)
Caprice (60'), Ray (82'), Dawson (88'), Collins (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Cambridge
1-4
Exeter
Ironside (55')
Iredale (12'), Ironside (41'), Knoyle (50'), Digby (90')
Bowman (3'), Sparkes (15'), Collins (67'), Jay (80')
Bowman (50')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Jay (16' pen.), Randall (34')
Parkes (58'), Taylor (77'), McArdle (90+2')

Digby (41'), Dunk (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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