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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Cambridge United

Exeter
0 - 0
Cambridge


Purrington (39'), Niskanen (45+1')
FT

Andrew (27'), Taylor (31'), Digby (50'), Kachunga (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Cambridge United

Cambridge have been dismal on the road so far this season, but they were minutes away from claiming a draw against Oxford having drawn away to Charlton Athletic in Harris' first away match in charge. Exeter have improved at home lately, but remain in a difficult position in the table. As such, we can envisage Cambridge finally ending their winless streak on their travels on Saturday, and putting a sizeable gap between themselves and the relegation zone in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
51.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.65% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 23.84% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (0.12 0.12)50.27% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (0.108 0.11)72.22% (-0.107 -0.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (0.050000000000011 0.05)19.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.61% (0.082000000000001 0.08)51.39% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (0.085999999999999 0.09)35.75% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (0.088000000000001 0.09)72.52% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 51.5%
    Cambridge United 23.84%
    Draw 24.65%
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 9.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 51.5%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.84%

How you voted: Exeter vs Cambridge

Exeter City
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Cambridge United
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Cambridge
2-0
Exeter
Ahadme (17' pen.), Kachunga (84')

Carroll (20'), Cole (45+2')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (18'), McDonald (53')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
Smith (60'), Digby (88')
Digby (29'), Dunk (44'), Lankester (90+6')
Brown (39')
Sweeney (45+1'), Coley (86')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
May (23'), Knibbs (88')
Okedina (9')
Nombe (10' pen.)
Caprice (60'), Ray (82'), Dawson (88'), Collins (90+8')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Cambridge
1-4
Exeter
Ironside (55')
Iredale (12'), Ironside (41'), Knoyle (50'), Digby (90')
Bowman (3'), Sparkes (15'), Collins (67'), Jay (80')
Bowman (50')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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