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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Charlton Athletic

Exeter
1 - 0
Charlton

Crama (59')
Woods (22'), Aitchison (73'), Niskanen (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gillesphey (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 5-3 Barnet
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Exeter City 2-2 Charlton Athletic

Exeter will fancy their chances of breaching Charlton's backline this weekend as they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 11 home league matches - the Grecians have not enjoyed a longer run since October 2019 (13). Charlton, meanwhile, have found the net in 11 of their last 14 away league games and although they are missing a few players due to injury, we can see Jones's side claiming at least a share of the spoils in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
43.91% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 25.26% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 30.82% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.24% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (0.131 0.13)48.22% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (0.119 0.12)70.38% (-0.123 -0.12)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (0.019000000000005 0.02)21.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.78% (0.030999999999999 0.03)55.22% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (0.13 0.13)29.23% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (0.159 0.16)65.19% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.91%
    Charlton Athletic 30.82%
    Draw 25.26%
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.91%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.82%

How you voted: Exeter vs Charlton

Exeter City
27.3%
Draw
33.3%
Charlton Athletic
39.4%
33
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Exeter
1-1
Charlton
Purrington (6')
Woods (78')
Diabate (87' og.)
Thomas (37')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Charlton
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (45'), May (65', 86'), Leaburn (79')
Tedic (45+3')
Scott (23')
Aimson (66')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Mitchell (31')
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe17123238201839
2Wrexham18114327111637
3Birmingham CityBirmingham16113230151536
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield17102526151132
5Stockport CountyStockport1886429191030
6Reading179352924530
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley187652623327
9Lincoln CityLincoln187562423126
10Mansfield TownMansfield167362120124
11Exeter CityExeter177371617-124
12Blackpool186572631-523
13Charlton AthleticCharlton176471819-122
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough176383230221
16Bristol Rovers186391726-921
17Wigan AthleticWigan175571514120
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
19Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
20Leyton Orient175391720-318
21Northampton TownNorthampton184681925-618
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1734101428-1413
23Burton Albion1725101629-1311
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1732121731-1411


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