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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
43.91% ( -0.07) | 25.26% ( -0.02) | 30.82% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.24% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.77% ( 0.13) | 48.22% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.62% ( 0.12) | 70.38% ( -0.12) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.06% ( 0.02) | 21.94% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.78% ( 0.03) | 55.22% ( -0.04) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.76% ( 0.13) | 29.23% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.81% ( 0.16) | 65.19% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.91% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |