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Championship header 2

League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Charlton Athletic

Exeter
1 - 0
Charlton

Crama (59')
Woods (22'), Aitchison (73'), Niskanen (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gillesphey (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 5-3 Barnet
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Southend 3-4 Charlton
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Exeter City 2-2 Charlton Athletic

 Exeter will fancy their chances of breaching Charlton's backline this weekend as they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 11 home league matches - the Grecians have not enjoyed a longer run since October 2019 (13). Charlton, meanwhile, have found the net in 11 of their last 14 away league games and although they are missing a few players due to injury, we can see Jones's side claiming at least a share of the spoils in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
43.91% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 25.26% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 30.82% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.24% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (0.131 0.13)48.22% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (0.119 0.12)70.38% (-0.123 -0.12)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (0.019000000000005 0.02)21.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.78% (0.030999999999999 0.03)55.22% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (0.13 0.13)29.23% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (0.159 0.16)65.19% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.91%
    Charlton Athletic 30.82%
    Draw 25.26%
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.91%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.82%

How you voted: Exeter vs Charlton

Exeter City
27.3%
Draw
33.3%
Charlton Athletic
39.4%
33
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Exeter
1-1
Charlton
Purrington (6')
Woods (78')
Diabate (87' og.)
Thomas (37')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Charlton
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (45'), May (65', 86'), Leaburn (79')
Tedic (45+3')
Scott (23')
Aimson (66')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Mitchell (31')
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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