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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Charlton Athletic

Exeter
1 - 2
Charlton

Mitchell (31')
Stansfield (45+3'), Kite (73')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
Rak-Sakyi (9'), Ness (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Charlton Athletic

Only four points separates these two sides coming into this clash, so we can see this being a closely-fought contest. Charlton got the better of Exeter in the reverse fixture back in October, but the Addicks' away form leaves a lot to be desired, so we think the spoils will be shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
46.72%25.09%28.2% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 54.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (0.0010000000000048 0)48.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08%70.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07%20.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)53.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.78%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 46.72%
    Charlton Athletic 28.2%
    Draw 25.08%
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 46.72%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.2%

How you voted: Exeter vs Charlton

Exeter City
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Charlton Athletic
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
O'Connell (90+5')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
Jan 28, 2012 3pm
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Feb 19, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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