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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
46.72% | 25.09% | 28.2% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.18% ( 0) | 48.82% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.08% | 70.92% ( 0) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.07% | 20.93% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.34% ( -0) | 53.66% ( 0) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.59% ( 0) | 31.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.22% ( 0) | 67.78% |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.59% Total : 46.72% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |