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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Charlton Athletic

Exeter
1 - 2
Charlton

Mitchell (31')
Stansfield (45+3'), Kite (73')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
Rak-Sakyi (9'), Ness (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Charlton Athletic

Only four points separates these two sides coming into this clash, so we can see this being a closely-fought contest. Charlton got the better of Exeter in the reverse fixture back in October, but the Addicks' away form leaves a lot to be desired, so we think the spoils will be shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
46.72%25.09%28.2% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 54.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (0.0010000000000048 0)48.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08%70.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07%20.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)53.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.78%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 46.72%
    Charlton Athletic 28.2%
    Draw 25.08%
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 46.72%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.2%

How you voted: Exeter vs Charlton

Exeter City
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Charlton Athletic
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
O'Connell (90+5')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
Jan 28, 2012 3pm
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Feb 19, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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