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Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
Exeter City

Charlton
4 - 2
Exeter

Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
O'Connell (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-3 Exeter City

Although Charlton are unbeaten at home this season, their recent form has not been good, and with Exeter on form and having some good momentum in the league, we expect this result to go their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawExeter City
40.1% (1.358 1.36) 26.42% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 33.48% (-1.343 -1.34)
Both teams to score 52.42% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)52.3% (0.165 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01% (-0.139 -0.14)73.99% (0.142 0.14)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.66199999999999 0.66)25.63% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (0.895 0.9)60.52% (-0.891 -0.89)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (-0.926 -0.93)29.51% (0.929 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-1.147 -1.15)65.52% (1.151 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 40.09%
    Exeter City 33.48%
    Draw 26.41%
Charlton AthleticDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.156 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.303 0.3)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.195 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 40.09%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.48%

How you voted: Charlton vs Exeter

Charlton Athletic
32.7%
Draw
17.3%
Exeter City
50.0%
52
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
Jan 28, 2012 3pm
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Feb 19, 2011 3pm
Sep 4, 2010 3pm
Exeter
1-0
Charlton
Harley (90' pen.)
Logan (90')

McCormack (38'), Fry (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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