League One

League One | Gameweek 8

Oct 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
4 - 2
Exeter

Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
O'Connell (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Charlton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-3 Exeter City

Although Charlton are unbeaten at home this season, their recent form has not been good, and with Exeter on form and having some good momentum in the league, we expect this result to go their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Exeter City
40.1% ( 1.36)	26.42% ( -0.01)	33.48% ( -1.34)

Both teams to score 52.42% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.7% (

-0.16)

52.3% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.01% (

-0.14)

73.99% (

0.14)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.37% (

0.66)

25.63% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.48% (

0.9)

60.52% (

-0.89)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49% (

-0.93)

29.51% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.47% (

-1.15)

65.52% (

1.15)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 40.09%

Exeter City 33.48%

Draw 26.41%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.4% Total : 40.09%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.48%