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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Charlton Athletic

Exeter
1 - 1
Charlton

Purrington (6')
Woods (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diabate (87' og.)
Thomas (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Charlton Athletic

Although they are inching further away from danger, Exeter's home record remains relatively weak, so in-form Charlton can take three points and leapfrog their hosts in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
36.31% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 25.65% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 38.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)48.63% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)70.75% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.03% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)61.06% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)25.06% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)59.74% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 36.31%
    Charlton Athletic 38.04%
    Draw 25.65%
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 36.31%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 38.04%

How you voted: Exeter vs Charlton

Exeter City
18.8%
Draw
15.6%
Charlton Athletic
65.6%
32
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Charlton
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (45'), May (65', 86'), Leaburn (79')
Tedic (45+3')
Scott (23')
Aimson (66')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Mitchell (31')
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
Jan 28, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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