League One

League One | Gameweek 41

Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
1 - 1
Charlton

Purrington (6')
Woods (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diabate (87' og.)
Thomas (37')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Charlton Athletic

Although they are inching further away from danger, Exeter's home record remains relatively weak, so in-form Charlton can take three points and leapfrog their hosts in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Charlton Athletic
36.31% ( 0.01)	25.65% ( 0.01)	38.04% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.43% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.37% (

-0.04)

48.63% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.25% (

-0.03)

70.75% (

0.04)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97% (

-0.01)

26.03% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94% (

-0.01)

61.06% (

0.02)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94% (

-0.03)

25.06% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.26% (

-0.04)

59.74% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 36.31%

Charlton Athletic 38.04%

Draw 25.65%

Exeter City	Draw	Charlton Athletic
1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.35% Total : 36.31%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 38.04%